GBP/USD Weekly Forecast – 24/08: Positive Sentiment (Chart)

Created on August 24, 2025

The low for the GBP/USD was made on Friday of this past week when the 1.33910 ratio was challenged, a mark last seen on the 7th of August.Day traders who have been leaning into bullish perceptions might have been hurt by the bearish momentum seen at that time. However, if traders who held bullish notions were able to survive the storm downwards going into Friday morning, a funny thing soon happened – strong upside momentum.The GBP/USD has gone into this weekend near the 1.35275 level. The buying power suddenly released in the broad Forex market took place when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged at the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium that the U.S central bank would cut interest rates in September.Admitting that circumstances had changed and that a more dovish Federal Reserve outlook might be needed helped spur on GBP/USD buying.

The high for the week in the GBP/USD didn’t happen on Friday however. The currency pair traversed the 1.35500 mark when it opened last week’s trading. Yes, selling in the GBP/USD built power last week until Friday’s lows were seen. The movement lower in the GBP/USD all week long and then its sudden rise upwards reflects the uncertainty financial institutions have been dealing with the past handful of weeks. The Fed has perceived mistakes and this has harmed Forex traders large and small as they have had to deal with uncertainty.

The GBP/USD is once again occupying the higher elements of its one month price realm, and is slightly below apex marks seen on a three month technical chart. The inclination to sell the GBP/USD at the current levels may be tempting for day traders but they should be careful. The currency pair certainly sold off leading into Friday of this past week as financial institutions became wary of their concerns regarding central bank policy, but circumstances have changed again.

Yet, sentiment shifts ahve been going on for the past month. The GBP/USD was near 1.31400 on the 1st of August, before the U.S jobs numbers came in weaker than anticipated. And the GBP/USD was near the 1.37900 vicinity on the 1st of July. Day traders have been hit with rollercoaster like values this year in the GBP/USD and the Forex market could be in for more choppiness.

The U.S will release GDP numbers this coming Thursday.The outcome will have an effect on financial assets and the USD too.The Fed has made it a near certainty they will cut the Fed Rate by 25 basis points in September, but what they do after that is not guaranteed.The Fed is still worried about the implications of tariffs.The large wave of buying seen on Friday will be confronted immediately when European desks start their Forex trading on Monday morning.

Day traders shouldn’t get too cozy with trends in the coming days. Last week’s price action is a sign that sentiment shifts are still dangerous. The knowledge that the Fed has nearly committed to cutting interest rates in September may help the GBP/USD generate some more buying action, but additional impetus will be needed. The growth numbers from the U.S will be a factor.

If the GDP outcome doesn’t come in as strong as anticipated, this might add to a chorus of analysts that wants to blame bad Federal Reserve policy for not helping the U.S economy – rightly or wrongly. If the growth number is weaker it may force the Fed into an even more dovish stance. Yes, tariff fears remain a problem for the Fed, but poor employment numbers and lackluster GDP results would stir the cauldron more and make it possible for weaker USD centric notions to grow. On the other hand if GDP numbers are strong, this could make some folks believe the Fed cut in September will not be repeated in October and cause a test of known realms – meaning choppy conditions could prevail.

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